Sonoma Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Justin HaleySonoma Fantasy Spin – At Sonoma, Justin Haley might just have teens potential. Haley ran fairly well last year at Sonoma en route to a 12th, and since 2022 at road courses over all seven combined races, Haley has the 12th best average finish (16.0). In 6 of those 7 road course races, Haley finished in the top 20. Over the last six races heading into the weekend, Haley has a 16.3 average finish.Sonoma Track History – Last year at Sonoma, Justin Haley had a solid showing and finished 12th. I’ll note, Haley had a 20.3 average running position and the 19th best Total Speed Ranking. I can't say he was quite as good as his finish, but it was a solid showing for him. In 2019 in his first Sonoma start in the #77, Haley finished 34th.

Erik JonesSonoma Fantasy Spin – Erik Jones has been pretty good at Sonoma but with how 2023 is going, it's best to lower your expectations. Since COTA minus Talladega and Bristol Dirt, Jones hasn't cracked the top 15 and has a 24.6 average finish. In the Next Gen at road courses over the combined events, Jones has a 16.6 average finish but just the 26th best Total Speed Ranking. On Sunday, I would view him as a low to mid-twenties driver who has upside.Sonoma Track History – Erik Jones has been successful at Sonoma and in 3 of the last 4 races he's finished in the top 11. Last year, Jones had his clunker result over that stretch and finished 22nd. That race was anything but incident free for the driver of the #43. In the race, Jones started in the rear of the field, was never happy with his car, spun into the grass on lap 15 while running in 20th and then later on lap 44 while running around 30th, he spun again. In addition to finishing 22nd, Jones had a 26.6 average running position and had the 33rd best Total Speed Ranking. In the three Sonoma races prior to that, Jones finished between 7th to 11th and had an 8.7 average finish. In 2021, Jones had a solid showing in the #43. In the race he finished 10th in Stage #1, 11th overall and had a 15.4 average running position. In 2019, Jones started way back in 32nd but came home 8th. In the race his primary strength was being fast over long runs and in that discipline, he ranked as the 4th fastest. In 2018, Jones was strong and finished 7th.

Ryan PreeceSonoma Fantasy Spin – Ryan Preece is no road course ringer, but I wouldn't count him out from sneaking in a teens finish, which he's been able to do quite frequently over the last few months. In 6 of the last 9 races heading into the weekend, he's finished in the teens. This spring at COTA during his cold streak, Preece crashed and finished 32nd. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, he ranked 18th. In 2021 when Preece last competed at road courses, he finished in the top 15 in the first two races, but then over the next five he finished 19th or worse.Sonoma Track History – At Sonoma, Ryan Preece is 2 for 2 at finishing in the 20's and his average finish is 25th. Last year, Ryan Preece didn't compete at Sonoma. In 2021, Preece finished 21st and had a 24.7 average running position. In 2019 in his first Sonoma race, Preece finished 29th.

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